Buffalo
Mid-American
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Minnesota | 23–10 | 35.9–12.8 | 10.1 |
| Week 3 | @ Kent State | 28–31 | 18.4–31.8 | 10.4 |
| Week 4 | vs Troy | 21–17 | 26.5–22.7 | 0.2 |
| Week 5 | vs UConn | 20–17 | 29.7–23.9 | 2.8 |
| Week 6 | vs Eastern Michigan | 30–31 | 26.1–29.1 | 2.0 |
| Week 8 | @ Massachusetts | 21–28 | 20.4–30.9 | 3.6 |
| Week 9 | vs Akron | 24–16 | 21.9–29.4 | 15.6 |
| Week 10 | @ Bowling Green | 3–28 | 26.0–23.1 | 27.9 |
| Week 12 | @ Central Michigan | 38–19 | 27.3–24.5 | 16.3 |
| Week 13 | vs Miami (OH) | 37–20 | 26.8–20.9 | 11.1 |
| Week 14 | vs Ohio | 31–26 | 29.9–20.2 | 4.8 |