Buffalo
Mid-American
2018 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2018
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Temple | 29–36 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs Eastern Michigan | 28–35 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Rutgers | 13–42 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs Army | 42–13 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ Central Michigan | 24–34 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs Akron | 6–24 | — | — |
| Week 8 | @ Toledo | 17–31 | — | — |
| Week 10 | vs Miami (OH) | 42–51 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Kent State | 14–48 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ Ohio | 52–17 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ Bowling Green | 14–44 | — | — |
| Week 14 | vs Northern Illinois | 30–29 | — | — |
| Week 1 | @ Troy | 42–32 | — | — |