Buffalo
Mid-American
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Wisconsin | 38–17 | 34.9–15.3 | 1.4 |
| Week 3 | vs Liberty | 55–27 | 25.9–25.9 | 28.0 |
| Week 4 | @ Louisiana | 45–38 | 33.0–23.4 | 2.6 |
| Week 5 | @ Akron | 10–13 | 24.1–29.5 | 2.4 |
| Week 6 | vs Central Michigan | 13–37 | 30.4–29.8 | 24.6 |
| Week 7 | vs Bowling Green | 24–14 | 21.1–25.8 | 14.7 |
| Week 8 | @ Kent State | 6–24 | 23.7–31.0 | 10.8 |
| Week 10 | @ Toledo | 31–13 | 29.0–22.6 | 11.6 |
| Week 11 | vs Ohio | 20–10 | 26.0–20.2 | 4.2 |
| Week 12 | @ Miami (OH) | 23–10 | 25.5–19.2 | 6.7 |
| Week 13 | vs Eastern Michigan | 24–11 | 19.6–26.8 | 20.2 |