Predicted scoreToss-up
Liberty
25.9
Buffalo
25.9
Buffalo win probability: 50%
Margin (Buffalo − Liberty): 0.0 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 51.7 (80% range 28 to 76)
Actual: Liberty 55 – Buffalo 27 (margin error 28.0, total error 30.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.