2023 Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023, 7:30 PM · UB Stadium
Bowling Green @ Buffalo
Predicted scoreLean
Bowling Green
21.1
Buffalo
25.8
Buffalo win probability: 62%
Margin (Buffalo − Bowling Green): 4.7 (80% range -14 to 24)
Total: 46.9 (80% range 25 to 69)
Actual: Bowling Green 24 – Buffalo 14 (margin error 14.7, total error 8.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.82% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.