Predicted scoreConfident
Buffalo
15.3
Wisconsin
34.9
Wisconsin win probability: 90%
Margin (Wisconsin − Buffalo): 19.6 (80% range 0 to 39)
Total: 50.2 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Buffalo 17 – Wisconsin 38 (margin error 1.4, total error 4.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.81% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.78% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.