2023 Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023, 6:00 PM · UB Stadium
Central Michigan @ Buffalo
Predicted scoreToss-up
Central Michigan
30.4
Buffalo
29.8
Buffalo win probability: 49%
Margin (Buffalo − Central Michigan): -0.6 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 60.2 (80% range 35 to 86)
Actual: Central Michigan 13 – Buffalo 37 (margin error 24.6, total error 10.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 31 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.58% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.58% |
| 28 | 31 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.