2023 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2023, 12:00 AM · Yager Stadium
Buffalo @ Miami (OH)
Predicted scoreLean
Buffalo
19.2
Miami (OH)
25.5
Miami (OH) win probability: 66%
Margin (Miami (OH) − Buffalo): 6.3 (80% range -13 to 25)
Total: 44.7 (80% range 24 to 67)
Actual: Buffalo 10 – Miami (OH) 23 (margin error 6.7, total error 11.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.88% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.79% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.