Buffalo
Mid-American
2022 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2022
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Maryland | 31–10 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ Coastal Carolina | 38–26 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Eastern Michigan | 31–50 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs Miami (OH) | 20–24 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ Bowling Green | 7–38 | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ Massachusetts | 7–34 | — | — |
| Week 8 | vs Toledo | 27–34 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ Ohio | 45–24 | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ Central Michigan | 31–27 | — | — |
| Week 13 | vs Kent State | 30–27 | — | — |
| Week 14 | vs Akron | 22–23 | — | — |
| Week 1 | vs Georgia Southern | 21–23 | — | — |