Buffalo
Mid-American
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Missouri | 38–0 | 35.7–15.7 | 18.0 |
| Week 3 | vs Massachusetts | 3–34 | 19.0–30.7 | 19.3 |
| Week 4 | @ Northern Illinois | 20–23 | 30.3–20.3 | 12.9 |
| Week 5 | @ UConn | 47–3 | 22.7–23.8 | 45.1 |
| Week 7 | vs Toledo | 15–30 | 26.5–20.3 | 21.3 |
| Week 8 | vs Western Michigan | 48–41 | 24.3–24.4 | 7.1 |
| Week 9 | @ Ohio | 47–16 | 26.6–22.7 | 27.1 |
| Week 10 | @ Akron | 30–41 | 21.7–26.8 | 5.9 |
| Week 12 | vs Ball State | 48–51 | 23.7–29.1 | 2.3 |
| Week 13 | @ Eastern Michigan | 20–37 | 26.7–25.0 | 18.7 |
| Week 14 | vs Kent State | 7–43 | 18.2–32.1 | 22.1 |
| Week 1 | @ Liberty | 7–26 | 32.6–21.0 | 30.5 |