Predicted scoreConfident
Buffalo
15.7
Missouri
35.7
Missouri win probability: 90%
Margin (Missouri − Buffalo): 20.0 (80% range 0 to 41)
Total: 51.5 (80% range 29 to 76)
Actual: Buffalo 0 – Missouri 38 (margin error 18.0, total error 13.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 38 | 0.78% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 10 | 28 | 0.76% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.