2024 Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024, 7:30 PM · UB Stadium
Western Michigan @ Buffalo
Predicted scoreToss-up
Western Michigan
24.3
Buffalo
24.4
Buffalo win probability: 50%
Margin (Buffalo − Western Michigan): 0.1 (80% range -20 to 20)
Total: 48.8 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Western Michigan 48 – Buffalo 41 (margin error 7.1, total error 40.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.