Predicted scoreLean
Buffalo
26.8
Akron
21.7
Akron win probability: 37%
Margin (Akron − Buffalo): -5.1 (80% range -25 to 14)
Total: 48.5 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Buffalo 41 – Akron 30 (margin error 5.9, total error 22.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.81% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.76% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.