2024 Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024, 5:00 PM · UB Stadium
Massachusetts @ Buffalo
Predicted scoreLikely
Massachusetts
19.0
Buffalo
30.7
Buffalo win probability: 77%
Margin (Buffalo − Massachusetts): 11.7 (80% range -8 to 32)
Total: 49.7 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: Massachusetts 3 – Buffalo 34 (margin error 19.3, total error 12.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.