Buffalo
Mid-American
2016 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2016
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 | @ Nevada | 38–14 | — | — |
| Week 4 | vs Army | 20–23 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ Boston College | 35–3 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs Kent State | 44–20 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs Ball State | 31–21 | — | — |
| Week 8 | @ Northern Illinois | 44–7 | — | — |
| Week 9 | vs Akron | 20–41 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ Ohio | 34–10 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Miami (OH) | 35–24 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ Western Michigan | 38–0 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ Bowling Green | 27–19 | — | — |