Buffalo
Mid-American
2021 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2021
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Nebraska | 28–3 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs Coastal Carolina | 28–25 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Old Dominion | 34–35 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs Western Michigan | 24–17 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ Kent State | 48–38 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs Ohio | 26–27 | — | — |
| Week 8 | @ Akron | 10–45 | — | — |
| Week 9 | vs Bowling Green | 56–44 | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ Miami (OH) | 45–18 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs Northern Illinois | 33–27 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ Ball State | 20–3 | — | — |