2024 Week 14 · Nov 27, 2024, 12:00 AM · UB Stadium
Kent State @ Buffalo
Predicted scoreLikely
Kent State
18.2
Buffalo
32.1
Buffalo win probability: 81%
Margin (Buffalo − Kent State): 13.9 (80% range -6 to 35)
Total: 50.3 (80% range 28 to 74)
Actual: Kent State 7 – Buffalo 43 (margin error 22.1, total error 0.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.78% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 7 | 21 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.