2023 Week 13 · Nov 22, 2023, 12:30 AM · UB Stadium
Eastern Michigan @ Buffalo
Predicted scoreLean
Eastern Michigan
19.6
Buffalo
26.8
Buffalo win probability: 68%
Margin (Buffalo − Eastern Michigan): 7.2 (80% range -12 to 27)
Total: 46.5 (80% range 24 to 69)
Actual: Eastern Michigan 24 – Buffalo 11 (margin error 20.2, total error 11.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.85% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.77% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.