2023 Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023, 7:30 PM · Dix Stadium
Buffalo @ Kent State
Predicted scoreLean
Buffalo
31.0
Kent State
23.7
Kent State win probability: 33%
Margin (Kent State − Buffalo): -7.2 (80% range -28 to 14)
Total: 54.7 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Buffalo 24 – Kent State 6 (margin error 10.8, total error 24.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.67% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.