2025 Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025, 6:30 PM · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium

Buffalo @ Massachusetts

Predicted scoreLikely

Buffalo

30.9

Massachusetts

20.4

Massachusetts win probability: 25%

Margin (Massachusetts − Buffalo): -10.6 (80% range -31 to 10)

Total: 51.3 (80% range 29 to 76)

Actual: Buffalo 28 – Massachusetts 21 (margin error 3.6, total error 2.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.