2025 Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025, 6:30 PM · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Buffalo @ Massachusetts
Predicted scoreLikely
Buffalo
30.9
Massachusetts
20.4
Massachusetts win probability: 25%
Margin (Massachusetts − Buffalo): -10.6 (80% range -31 to 10)
Total: 51.3 (80% range 29 to 76)
Actual: Buffalo 28 – Massachusetts 21 (margin error 3.6, total error 2.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.