2025 Week 12 · Nov 13, 2025, 12:00 AM · Kelly/Shorts Stadium

Buffalo @ Central Michigan

Predicted scoreToss-up

Buffalo

24.5

Central Michigan

27.3

Central Michigan win probability: 57%

Margin (Central Michigan − Buffalo): 2.7 (80% range -17 to 23)

Total: 51.8 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Buffalo 19 – Central Michigan 38 (margin error 16.3, total error 5.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.