2025 Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025, 4:00 PM · Dix Stadium
Buffalo @ Kent State
Predicted scoreLikely
Buffalo
31.8
Kent State
18.4
Kent State win probability: 20%
Margin (Kent State − Buffalo): -13.4 (80% range -34 to 7)
Total: 50.2 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Buffalo 31 – Kent State 28 (margin error 10.4, total error 8.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 14 | 0.83% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.77% |
| 31 | 7 | 0.76% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.