2025 Week 13 · Nov 20, 2025, 12:00 AM · UB Stadium
Miami (OH) @ Buffalo
Predicted scoreLean
Miami (OH)
26.8
Buffalo
20.9
Buffalo win probability: 35%
Margin (Buffalo − Miami (OH)): -5.9 (80% range -25 to 14)
Total: 47.7 (80% range 27 to 71)
Actual: Miami (OH) 37 – Buffalo 20 (margin error 11.1, total error 9.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.86% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.