2025 Week 10 · Nov 1, 2025, 4:00 PM · Doyt L. Perry Stadium

Buffalo @ Bowling Green

Predicted scoreToss-up

Buffalo

23.1

Bowling Green

26.0

Bowling Green win probability: 57%

Margin (Bowling Green − Buffalo): 2.9 (80% range -17 to 23)

Total: 49.1 (80% range 27 to 73)

Actual: Buffalo 28 – Bowling Green 3 (margin error 27.9, total error 18.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.