2025 Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025, 7:30 PM · UB Stadium
Eastern Michigan @ Buffalo
Predicted scoreToss-up
Eastern Michigan
26.1
Buffalo
29.1
Buffalo win probability: 57%
Margin (Buffalo − Eastern Michigan): 3.0 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 55.2 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Eastern Michigan 30 – Buffalo 31 (margin error 2.0, total error 5.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 28 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.