Predicted scoreLean
Akron
21.9
Buffalo
29.4
Buffalo win probability: 69%
Margin (Buffalo − Akron): 7.6 (80% range -13 to 28)
Total: 51.3 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Akron 24 – Buffalo 16 (margin error 15.6, total error 11.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.