Troy
Sun Belt
2026 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Upcoming forecasts
| Week | Opponent | Predicted score | Win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Sam Houston | 17.6–31.9 | 82% |
| Week 3 | @ Missouri | 32.6–15.8 | 13% |
| Week 4 | @ Utah State | 31.3–21.8 | 28% |
| Week 6 | vs Southern Miss | 21.7–26.5 | 62% |
| Week 7 | @ Louisiana | 24.7–22.9 | 45% |
| Week 8 | vs UL Monroe | 18.3–28.0 | 74% |
| Week 9 | @ James Madison | 32.0–15.2 | 13% |
| Week 10 | vs Louisiana Tech | 22.7–24.1 | 53% |
| Week 11 | @ South Alabama | 26.2–24.3 | 45% |
| Week 12 | vs Georgia Southern | 24.7–28.1 | 58% |
| Week 13 | @ Arkansas State | 24.7–25.5 | 52% |
Past prediction accuracy — 2026
No completed, graded games for 2026 yet.