Troy
Sun Belt
2022 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2022
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Ole Miss | 28–10 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ App State | 32–28 | — | — |
| Week 4 | vs Marshall | 7–16 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ Western Kentucky | 27–34 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs Southern Miss | 10–27 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs Texas State | 14–17 | — | — |
| Week 8 | @ South Alabama | 6–10 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ Louisiana | 17–23 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Army | 9–10 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs UL Monroe | 16–34 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ Arkansas State | 19–48 | — | — |
| Week 14 | vs Coastal Carolina | 26–45 | — | — |
| Week 1 | vs UTSA | 12–18 | — | — |