Troy
Sun Belt
2018 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2018
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Boise State | 56–20 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ Nebraska | 19–24 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ UL Monroe | 27–35 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs Coastal Carolina | 21–45 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs Georgia State | 20–37 | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ Liberty | 22–16 | — | — |
| Week 9 | @ South Alabama | 17–38 | — | — |
| Week 10 | vs Louisiana | 16–26 | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ Georgia Southern | 21–35 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs Texas State | 7–12 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ App State | 21–10 | — | — |
| Week 1 | vs Buffalo | 32–42 | — | — |