Troy
Sun Belt
2016 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2016
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Clemson | 30–24 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ Southern Miss | 31–37 | — | — |
| Week 4 | vs New Mexico State | 6–52 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ Idaho | 13–34 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs Georgia State | 21–31 | — | — |
| Week 8 | @ South Alabama | 21–28 | — | — |
| Week 10 | vs Massachusetts | 31–52 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs App State | 24–28 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs Arkansas State | 35–3 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ Texas State | 7–40 | — | — |
| Week 14 | @ Georgia Southern | 28–24 | — | — |
| Week 1 | vs Ohio | 23–28 | — | — |