Troy
Sun Belt
2021 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2021
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs Liberty | 21–13 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ Southern Miss | 9–21 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ UL Monroe | 29–16 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ South Carolina | 23–14 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs Georgia Southern | 24–27 | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ Texas State | 28–31 | — | — |
| Week 9 | @ Coastal Carolina | 35–28 | — | — |
| Week 10 | vs South Alabama | 24–31 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Louisiana | 35–21 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs App State | 45–7 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ Georgia State | 37–10 | — | — |