2026 Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026, 5:00 AM · Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
Louisiana Tech @ Troy
Predicted scoreToss-up
Louisiana Tech
22.7
Troy
24.1
Troy win probability: 53%
Margin (Troy − Louisiana Tech): 1.4 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 46.7 (80% range 25 to 69)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:22 PM | 1.4 | 46.7 | 53% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:17 PM | 1.4 | 46.6 | 53% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:11 PM | 1.4 | 46.7 | 53% |