2026 Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026, 5:00 AM · Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
Georgia Southern @ Troy
Predicted scoreToss-up
Georgia Southern
24.7
Troy
28.1
Troy win probability: 58%
Margin (Troy − Georgia Southern): 3.4 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 52.8 (80% range 30 to 77)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:55 PM | 3.3 | 52.8 | 58% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:50 PM | 3.4 | 52.8 | 58% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:33 PM | 3.4 | 52.8 | 58% |