Predicted scoreConfident
Troy
15.8
Missouri
32.6
Missouri win probability: 87%
Margin (Missouri − Troy): 16.9 (80% range -3 to 37)
Total: 48.4 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.79% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.75% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:36 PM | 16.9 | 48.4 | 87% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:38 PM | 16.8 | 48.4 | 87% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:04 PM | 16.9 | 48.4 | 87% |