Navy
American Athletic
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs UAB | 24–38 | 17.2–33.9 | 2.7 |
| Week 3 | @ Tulsa | 23–42 | 17.8–37.1 | 0.4 |
| Week 5 | vs Rice | 13–21 | 14.7–31.4 | 8.7 |
| Week 6 | vs Air Force | 31–34 | 19.1–36.0 | 13.9 |
| Week 7 | @ Temple | 31–32 | 19.8–30.6 | 9.7 |
| Week 9 | vs Florida Atlantic | 32–42 | 19.5–33.3 | 3.7 |
| Week 10 | @ North Texas | 31–17 | 32.8–26.1 | 7.3 |
| Week 11 | @ Notre Dame | 49–10 | 35.5–16.3 | 19.8 |
| Week 12 | vs South Florida | 38–41 | 27.1–25.1 | 4.9 |
| Week 14 | @ Memphis | 17–28 | 29.6–26.7 | 13.9 |
| Week 16 | vs Army | 16–17 | 23.4–24.1 | 0.3 |
| Week 1 | @ Cincinnati | 13–35 | 24.1–25.0 | 21.1 |