Predicted scoreLikely
Navy
30.6
Temple
19.8
Temple win probability: 25%
Margin (Temple − Navy): -10.7 (80% range -31 to 10)
Total: 50.4 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Navy 32 – Temple 31 (margin error 9.7, total error 12.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.81% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.78% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.