Navy
American Athletic
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Notre Dame | 42–3 | 32.0–17.1 | 24.1 |
| Week 3 | @ Memphis | 28–24 | 30.1–18.8 | 7.3 |
| Week 5 | vs South Florida | 44–30 | 24.7–23.6 | 12.9 |
| Week 6 | vs North Texas | 24–27 | 24.5–30.4 | 2.9 |
| Week 7 | @ Charlotte | 0–14 | 24.6–26.0 | 12.6 |
| Week 8 | vs Air Force | 17–6 | 28.8–19.5 | 1.6 |
| Week 10 | @ Temple | 32–18 | 17.2–29.7 | 26.4 |
| Week 11 | vs UAB | 6–31 | 26.4–23.9 | 27.6 |
| Week 12 | vs East Carolina | 0–10 | 21.3–22.9 | 8.4 |
| Week 13 | @ SMU | 59–14 | 29.6–16.8 | 32.3 |
| Week 15 | @ Army | 17–11 | 18.0–17.1 | 5.1 |