2023 Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023, 7:30 PM · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium

North Texas @ Navy

Predicted scoreLean

North Texas

24.5

Navy

30.4

Navy win probability: 65%

Margin (Navy − North Texas): 5.9 (80% range -14 to 26)

Total: 54.8 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: North Texas 24 – Navy 27 (margin error 2.9, total error 3.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.