Navy

American Athletic

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs North Texas	29.7–27.5	45%
Week 9	vs Notre Dame	34.3–14.6	10%
Week 10	vs Temple	23.4–31.7	70%
Week 12	vs Memphis	26.7–26.9	51%
Week 13	@ Charlotte	15.3–30.5	84%
Week 15	@ Army	25.1–25.1	50%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Towson	15–42	—	—
Week 2	@ Florida Atlantic	38–30	21.8–32.7	18.9
Week 4	@ UAB	24–20	22.6–29.6	11.0
Week 5	@ Air Force	14–9	28.4–28.1	4.7
Week 6	vs Tulsa	26–34	21.6–26.0	3.6
Week 7	@ UTSA	38–34	28.1–22.6	1.5