Predicted scoreLikely
Navy
30.0
Charlotte
16.1
Charlotte win probability: 18%
Margin (Charlotte − Navy): -13.9 (80% range -34 to 5)
Total: 46.0 (80% range 24 to 69)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 14 | 0.97% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.89% |
| 31 | 7 | 0.86% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.85% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.82% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:00 PM | -13.9 | 46.0 | 18% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:08 PM | -13.9 | 46.0 | 18% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:37 PM | -13.9 | 46.0 | 18% |