Predicted scoreLikely
Temple
23.4
Navy
31.7
Navy win probability: 70%
Margin (Navy − Temple): 8.3 (80% range -11 to 28)
Total: 55.2 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:18 PM | 12.3 | 54.7 | 78% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:24 PM | 12.3 | 54.7 | 78% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:18 PM | 12.3 | 54.7 | 78% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:49:33 AM | 12.3 | 54.7 | 78% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:59 PM | 12.3 | 54.7 | 78% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:03:36 PM | 12.4 | 54.4 | 78% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:57:33 PM | 12.1 | 54.4 | 78% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:59:21 PM | 6.8 | 52.9 | 67% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:41:26 PM | 6.8 | 53.0 | 67% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:00:17 PM | 7.2 | 53.0 | 67% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:48 PM | 7.2 | 52.9 | 68% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:33:17 PM | 2.3 | 54.8 | 56% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:20 PM | 1.2 | 51.6 | 53% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:43:13 PM | 5.4 | 52.9 | 63% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:41 PM | 8.3 | 55.2 | 70% |