Navy
American Athletic
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs Temple | 11–38 | 18.2–29.9 | 15.3 |
| Week 4 | vs Memphis | 44–56 | 29.4–23.1 | 18.3 |
| Week 5 | @ UAB | 18–41 | 21.7–29.0 | 15.7 |
| Week 6 | @ Air Force | 7–34 | 18.3–25.5 | 19.8 |
| Week 8 | vs Charlotte | 17–51 | 18.7–34.0 | 18.7 |
| Week 9 | vs Notre Dame | 51–14 | 30.7–17.3 | 23.6 |
| Week 10 | @ Rice | 24–10 | 17.8–29.6 | 25.8 |
| Week 11 | @ South Florida | 7–28 | 23.4–26.5 | 17.9 |
| Week 12 | vs Tulane | 35–0 | 23.5–24.1 | 35.6 |
| Week 14 | @ East Carolina | 20–34 | 24.1–27.8 | 10.3 |
| Week 16 | @ Army | 13–31 | 22.7–22.5 | 18.2 |
| Week 1 | vs Oklahoma | 20–21 | 33.5–10.3 | 24.2 |