2024 Postseason · Dec 27, 2024, 5:00 PM · Amon G. Carter Stadium (neutral site)

Oklahoma @ Navy

Predicted scoreConfident

Oklahoma

33.5

Navy

10.3

Navy win probability: 6%

Margin (Navy − Oklahoma): -23.2 (80% range -42 to -4)

Total: 43.8 (80% range 24 to 65)

Actual: Oklahoma 20 – Navy 21 (margin error 24.2, total error 2.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.