2024 Week 16 · Dec 14, 2024, 8:00 PM · Northwest Stadium (neutral site)

Navy @ Army

Predicted scoreToss-up

Navy

22.5

Army

22.7

Army win probability: 51%

Margin (Army − Navy): 0.2 (80% range -18 to 18)

Total: 45.2 (80% range 24 to 69)

Actual: Navy 31 – Army 13 (margin error 18.2, total error 1.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.