Navy
American Athletic
2021 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2021
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Marshall | 49–7 | — | — |
| Week 2 | vs Air Force | 23–3 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Houston | 28–20 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs UCF | 30–34 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs SMU | 31–24 | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ Memphis | 35–17 | — | — |
| Week 8 | vs Cincinnati | 27–20 | — | — |
| Week 9 | @ Tulsa | 17–20 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ Notre Dame | 34–6 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs East Carolina | 38–35 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ Temple | 14–38 | — | — |
| Week 15 | @ Army | 13–17 | — | — |