Navy
American Athletic
2016 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2016
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs UConn | 24–28 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ Tulane | 14–21 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ Air Force | 28–14 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs Houston | 40–46 | — | — |
| Week 8 | vs Memphis | 28–42 | — | — |
| Week 9 | @ South Florida | 52–45 | — | — |
| Week 10 | vs Notre Dame | 27–28 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Tulsa | 40–42 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ East Carolina | 31–66 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ SMU | 31–75 | — | — |
| Week 14 | vs Temple | 34–10 | — | — |
| Week 15 | @ Army | 21–17 | — | — |
| Week 1 | vs Louisiana Tech | 48–45 | — | — |