2024 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024, 5:00 PM · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium

Tulane @ Navy

Predicted scoreToss-up

Tulane

23.5

Navy

24.1

Navy win probability: 51%

Margin (Navy − Tulane): 0.6 (80% range -18 to 20)

Total: 47.6 (80% range 27 to 71)

Actual: Tulane 35 – Navy 0 (margin error 35.6, total error 12.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.