Predicted scoreLikely
Navy
29.6
Rice
17.8
Rice win probability: 22%
Margin (Rice − Navy): -11.8 (80% range -31 to 7)
Total: 47.3 (80% range 26 to 70)
Actual: Navy 10 – Rice 24 (margin error 25.8, total error 13.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.83% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.80% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.