2024 Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024, 5:00 PM · Raymond James Stadium
Navy @ South Florida
Predicted scoreToss-up
Navy
26.5
South Florida
23.4
South Florida win probability: 42%
Margin (South Florida − Navy): -3.1 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 50.0 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Navy 28 – South Florida 7 (margin error 17.9, total error 15.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.81% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.