2024 Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024, 7:30 PM · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium

Charlotte @ Navy

Predicted scoreLikely

Charlotte

18.7

Navy

34.0

Navy win probability: 83%

Margin (Navy − Charlotte): 15.3 (80% range -4 to 35)

Total: 52.7 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Charlotte 17 – Navy 51 (margin error 18.7, total error 15.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.